United Fire Valuation

UFCS Stock  USD 37.05  0.49  1.31%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. United Fire Group has a current Real Value of $40.28 per share. The regular price of the company is $37.05. Our model measures the value of United Fire Group from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 25.51 M, operating margin of 0.15 %, and Return On Equity of 0.13 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting United Fire's valuation include:
Price Book
1.0521
Enterprise Value
858 M
Price Sales
0.6983
Trailing PE
8.7382
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.6339
Undervalued
Today
37.05
Please note that United Fire's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of United Fire Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing United Fire's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the United stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of United Fire Group. Since United Fire is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of United Stock. However, United Fire's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  37.05 Real  40.28 Target  37.5 Hype  37.04
The intrinsic value of United Fire's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence United Fire's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
40.28
Real Value
41.59
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of United Fire Group helps investors to forecast how United stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of United Fire more accurately as focusing exclusively on United Fire's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.890.910.93
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.7337.0438.35
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
34.1337.5041.63
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use United Fire's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of United Fire's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against United Fire's closest peers.

United Fire Cash

135.32 Million

United Fire Total Value Analysis

United Fire Group is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 857.95 M with market capitalization of 945.31 M, debt of 117.06 M, and cash on hands of 92.21 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the United Fire fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
857.95 M
945.31 M
117.06 M
92.21 M

United Fire Investor Information

About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United Fire Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of December 2004. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from United Fire's historical financial statements, United Fire Group may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.

United Fire Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. United Fire has an asset utilization ratio of 35.89 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.36 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that United Fire Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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United Fire Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from United Fire's financial statements, United Fire's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average chance of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess United Fire's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
22.9 M
Current Value
39.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
16.6 M
 
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At this time, United Fire's Pretax Profit Margin is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.06 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 155.4 M in 2026.
For United Fire profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of United Fire Group to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well United Fire utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between United Fire's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of United Fire over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

United Fire Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of United Fire is estimated to be 0.90625 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.8875 to a high of 0.925. United Fire's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 4.24. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for United Fire Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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United Fire is projected to generate 0.90625 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. United Fire earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected United Fire EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on United Fire's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as United Fire, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

United Fire Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of United Fire's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of United Fire is estimated to be 0.90625 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.8875 to a high of 0.925. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for United Fire Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.89
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.90625
0.93
Highest

United Fire Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of United Fire's value are higher than the current market price of the United Fire stock. In this case, investors may conclude that United Fire is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and United Fire's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
245.61%
0.0
0.90625
4.24

United Fire Ownership Allocation

United Fire Group shows a total of 25.51 Million outstanding shares. Over half of United Fire's outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional holders are typically referred to as corporate investors that take positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

United Fire Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.25 B. Net Income was 61.96 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 149.84 M.

United Fire Past Distributions to stockholders

About United Fire Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines United Fire's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of United Fire Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of United Fire. We calculate exposure to United Fire's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of United Fire's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit203.3 M155.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.07  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.07  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.21  0.37 

United Fire Quarterly Retained Earnings

688.05 Million

United Fire's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether United Fire's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of United Fire can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of United Fire represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of United, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

United Fire Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, United Fire's Dividend Yield is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to gain to 14.63 in 2026, whereas Dividends Paid is likely to drop (15.3 M) in 2026. . Retained Earnings is likely to gain to about 749.2 M in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 623.9 M in 2026.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-14.6 M-15.3 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.24  0.22 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 13.94  14.63 
There are various types of dividends United Fire can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of United shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from United Fire Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When United pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of United Fire by the value of the dividends paid out.

United Fire Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as United Fire does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.961

United Fire Current Valuation Indicators

United Fire's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final United Fire's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as United Fire, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use United Fire's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes United Fire's worth.

Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis

When running United Fire's price analysis, check to measure United Fire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Fire is operating at the current time. Most of United Fire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Fire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Fire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Fire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.